{
  "alt": "Line chart of the vote-weighted standard deviation of county swings within the South and within the rest of the country, for {fact:n_pairs} pairs of elections. The South's line is above the other in each pair from 1940 to 1944 through 1988 to 1992 and reaches {fact:south_sd_1964} points for 1960 to 1964, against {fact:rest_sd_1964}. For 2020 to 2024 the lines are {fact:south_sd_latest} for the South and {fact:rest_sd_latest} for the rest.",
  "caption": "The South's line sits above the rest of the country's from 1944 to 1992 and the two lines are level in 2020 to 2024. The South is the Census Bureau's South region. Each line is the vote-weighted standard deviation of county swings among the counties in the region. The other view gives the South's own margin swing compared with the national swing.",
  "data": [
    {
      "n": 670,
      "pair": "1868–72",
      "series": "South",
      "value": 39.9775,
      "view": "spread",
      "year": 1872
    },
    {
      "n": 1017,
      "pair": "1868–72",
      "series": "Rest of the country",
      "value": 28.6,
      "view": "spread",
      "year": 1872
    },
    {
      "n": 670,
      "pair": "1868–72",
      "series": "South",
      "value": -6.12725,
      "view": "offset",
      "year": 1872
    },
    {
      "n": 1017,
      "pair": "1868–72",
      "series": "Rest of the country",
      "value": 1.0176,
      "view": "offset",
      "year": 1872
    },
    {
      "n": 1059,
      "pair": "1872–76",
      "series": "South",
      "value": 23.2089,
      "view": "spread",
      "year": 1876
    },
    {
      "n": 1092,
      "pair": "1872–76",
      "series": "Rest of the country",
      "value": 31.1497,
      "view": "spread",
      "year": 1876
    },
    {
      "n": 1059,
      "pair": "1872–76",
      "series": "South",
      "value": 5.38408,
      "view": "offset",
      "year": 1876
    },
    {
      "n": 1092,
      "pair": "1872–76",
      "series": "Rest of the country",
      "value": -1.9595,
      "view": "offset",
      "year": 1876
    },
    {
      "n": 1084,
      "pair": "1876–80",
      "series": "South",
      "value": 22.5423,
      "view": "spread",
      "year": 1880
    },
    {
      "n": 1132,
      "pair": "1876–80",
      "series": "Rest of the country",
      "value": 6.5259,
      "view": "spread",
      "year": 1880
    },
    {
      "n": 1084,
      "pair": "1876–80",
      "series": "South",
      "value": 3.56736,
      "view": "offset",
      "year": 1880
    },
    {
      "n": 1132,
      "pair": "1876–80",
      "series": "Rest of the country",
      "value": -0.473961,
      "view": "offset",
      "year": 1880
    },
    {
      "n": 1106,
      "pair": "1880–84",
      "series": "South",
      "value": 16.5916,
      "view": "spread",
      "year": 1884
    },
    {
      "n": 1177,
      "pair": "1880–84",
      "series": "Rest of the country",
      "value": 9.2241,
      "view": "spread",
      "year": 1884
    },
    {
      "n": 1106,
      "pair": "1880–84",
      "series": "South",
      "value": -3.32029,
      "view": "offset",
      "year": 1884
    },
    {
      "n": 1177,
      "pair": "1880–84",
      "series": "Rest of the country",
      "value": 1.05216,
      "view": "offset",
      "year": 1884
    },
    {
      "n": 1142,
      "pair": "1884–88",
      "series": "South",
      "value": 17.0874,
      "view": "spread",
      "year": 1888
    },
    {
      "n": 1203,
      "pair": "1884–88",
      "series": "Rest of the country",
      "value": 6.21862,
      "view": "spread",
      "year": 1888
    },
    {
      "n": 1142,
      "pair": "1884–88",
      "series": "South",
      "value": 1.76508,
      "view": "offset",
      "year": 1888
    },
    {
      "n": 1203,
      "pair": "1884–88",
      "series": "Rest of the country",
      "value": -0.392597,
      "view": "offset",
      "year": 1888
    },
    {
      "n": 1164,
      "pair": "1888–92",
      "series": "South",
      "value": 23.3476,
      "view": "spread",
      "year": 1892
    },
    {
      "n": 1260,
      "pair": "1888–92",
      "series": "Rest of the country",
      "value": 14.1953,
      "view": "spread",
      "year": 1892
    },
    {
      "n": 1164,
      "pair": "1888–92",
      "series": "South",
      "value": 7.85227,
      "view": "offset",
      "year": 1892
    },
    {
      "n": 1260,
      "pair": "1888–92",
      "series": "Rest of the country",
      "value": -1.9325,
      "view": "offset",
      "year": 1892
    },
    {
      "n": 1197,
      "pair": "1892–96",
      "series": "South",
      "value": 24.9618,
      "view": "spread",
      "year": 1896
    },
    {
      "n": 1457,
      "pair": "1892–96",
      "series": "Rest of the country",
      "value": 42.1904,
      "view": "spread",
      "year": 1896
    },
    {
      "n": 1197,
      "pair": "1892–96",
      "series": "South",
      "value": -4.17877,
      "view": "offset",
      "year": 1896
    },
    {
      "n": 1457,
      "pair": "1892–96",
      "series": "Rest of the country",
      "value": 1.28642,
      "view": "offset",
      "year": 1896
    },
    {
      "n": 1188,
      "pair": "1896–1900",
      "series": "South",
      "value": 17.2181,
      "view": "spread",
      "year": 1900
    },
    {
      "n": 1507,
      "pair": "1896–1900",
      "series": "Rest of the country",
      "value": 24.1455,
      "view": "spread",
      "year": 1900
    },
    {
      "n": 1188,
      "pair": "1896–1900",
      "series": "South",
      "value": -0.172907,
      "view": "offset",
      "year": 1900
    },
    {
      "n": 1507,
      "pair": "1896–1900",
      "series": "Rest of the country",
      "value": 0.790913,
      "view": "offset",
      "year": 1900
    },
    {
      "n": 1164,
      "pair": "1900–04",
      "series": "South",
      "value": 16.1884,
      "view": "spread",
      "year": 1904
    },
    {
      "n": 1516,
      "pair": "1900–04",
      "series": "Rest of the country",
      "value": 13.7402,
      "view": "spread",
      "year": 1904
    },
    {
      "n": 1164,
      "pair": "1900–04",
      "series": "South",
      "value": 18.6976,
      "view": "offset",
      "year": 1904
    },
    {
      "n": 1516,
      "pair": "1900–04",
      "series": "Rest of the country",
      "value": -3.18461,
      "view": "offset",
      "year": 1904
    },
    {
      "n": 1185,
      "pair": "1904–08",
      "series": "South",
      "value": 12.3229,
      "view": "spread",
      "year": 1908
    },
    {
      "n": 1522,
      "pair": "1904–08",
      "series": "Rest of the country",
      "value": 13.6718,
      "view": "spread",
      "year": 1908
    },
    {
      "n": 1185,
      "pair": "1904–08",
      "series": "South",
      "value": -12.4167,
      "view": "offset",
      "year": 1908
    },
    {
      "n": 1522,
      "pair": "1904–08",
      "series": "Rest of the country",
      "value": 2.78691,
      "view": "offset",
      "year": 1908
    },
    {
      "n": 1320,
      "pair": "1908–12",
      "series": "South",
      "value": 22.5299,
      "view": "spread",
      "year": 1912
    },
    {
      "n": 1512,
      "pair": "1908–12",
      "series": "Rest of the country",
      "value": 24.0031,
      "view": "spread",
      "year": 1912
    },
    {
      "n": 1320,
      "pair": "1908–12",
      "series": "South",
      "value": -5.59206,
      "view": "offset",
      "year": 1912
    },
    {
      "n": 1512,
      "pair": "1908–12",
      "series": "Rest of the country",
      "value": 0.376313,
      "view": "offset",
      "year": 1912
    },
    {
      "n": 1356,
      "pair": "1912–16",
      "series": "South",
      "value": 23.348,
      "view": "spread",
      "year": 1916
    },
    {
      "n": 1586,
      "pair": "1912–16",
      "series": "Rest of the country",
      "value": 26.4998,
      "view": "spread",
      "year": 1916
    },
    {
      "n": 1356,
      "pair": "1912–16",
      "series": "South",
      "value": 4.50832,
      "view": "offset",
      "year": 1916
    },
    {
      "n": 1586,
      "pair": "1912–16",
      "series": "Rest of the country",
      "value": 0.399346,
      "view": "offset",
      "year": 1916
    },
    {
      "n": 1375,
      "pair": "1916–20",
      "series": "South",
      "value": 15.0838,
      "view": "spread",
      "year": 1920
    },
    {
      "n": 1643,
      "pair": "1916–20",
      "series": "Rest of the country",
      "value": 15.2735,
      "view": "spread",
      "year": 1920
    },
    {
      "n": 1375,
      "pair": "1916–20",
      "series": "South",
      "value": 10.8402,
      "view": "offset",
      "year": 1920
    },
    {
      "n": 1643,
      "pair": "1916–20",
      "series": "Rest of the country",
      "value": -3.53237,
      "view": "offset",
      "year": 1920
    },
    {
      "n": 1382,
      "pair": "1920–24",
      "series": "South",
      "value": 14.7192,
      "view": "spread",
      "year": 1924
    },
    {
      "n": 1666,
      "pair": "1920–24",
      "series": "Rest of the country",
      "value": 16.1626,
      "view": "spread",
      "year": 1924
    },
    {
      "n": 1382,
      "pair": "1920–24",
      "series": "South",
      "value": 12.6346,
      "view": "offset",
      "year": 1924
    },
    {
      "n": 1666,
      "pair": "1920–24",
      "series": "Rest of the country",
      "value": -2.65966,
      "view": "offset",
      "year": 1924
    },
    {
      "n": 1405,
      "pair": "1924–28",
      "series": "South",
      "value": 25.1481,
      "view": "spread",
      "year": 1928
    },
    {
      "n": 1678,
      "pair": "1924–28",
      "series": "Rest of the country",
      "value": 24.9278,
      "view": "spread",
      "year": 1928
    },
    {
      "n": 1405,
      "pair": "1924–28",
      "series": "South",
      "value": -38.5781,
      "view": "offset",
      "year": 1928
    },
    {
      "n": 1678,
      "pair": "1924–28",
      "series": "Rest of the country",
      "value": 9.72046,
      "view": "offset",
      "year": 1928
    },
    {
      "n": 1411,
      "pair": "1928–32",
      "series": "South",
      "value": 24.0174,
      "view": "spread",
      "year": 1932
    },
    {
      "n": 1684,
      "pair": "1928–32",
      "series": "Rest of the country",
      "value": 18.6374,
      "view": "spread",
      "year": 1932
    },
    {
      "n": 1411,
      "pair": "1928–32",
      "series": "South",
      "value": 15.1715,
      "view": "offset",
      "year": 1932
    },
    {
      "n": 1684,
      "pair": "1928–32",
      "series": "Rest of the country",
      "value": -3.45434,
      "view": "offset",
      "year": 1932
    },
    {
      "n": 1412,
      "pair": "1932–36",
      "series": "South",
      "value": 13.1962,
      "view": "spread",
      "year": 1936
    },
    {
      "n": 1683,
      "pair": "1932–36",
      "series": "Rest of the country",
      "value": 14.4944,
      "view": "spread",
      "year": 1936
    },
    {
      "n": 1412,
      "pair": "1932–36",
      "series": "South",
      "value": -6.14608,
      "view": "offset",
      "year": 1936
    },
    {
      "n": 1683,
      "pair": "1932–36",
      "series": "Rest of the country",
      "value": 1.58201,
      "view": "offset",
      "year": 1936
    },
    {
      "n": 1411,
      "pair": "1936–40",
      "series": "South",
      "value": 10.7047,
      "view": "spread",
      "year": 1940
    },
    {
      "n": 1683,
      "pair": "1936–40",
      "series": "Rest of the country",
      "value": 11.4415,
      "view": "spread",
      "year": 1940
    },
    {
      "n": 1411,
      "pair": "1936–40",
      "series": "South",
      "value": 10.1102,
      "view": "offset",
      "year": 1940
    },
    {
      "n": 1683,
      "pair": "1936–40",
      "series": "Rest of the country",
      "value": -1.79319,
      "view": "offset",
      "year": 1940
    },
    {
      "n": 1411,
      "pair": "1940–44",
      "series": "South",
      "value": 9.64115,
      "view": "spread",
      "year": 1944
    },
    {
      "n": 1682,
      "pair": "1940–44",
      "series": "Rest of the country",
      "value": 5.24832,
      "view": "spread",
      "year": 1944
    },
    {
      "n": 1411,
      "pair": "1940–44",
      "series": "South",
      "value": -4.90202,
      "view": "offset",
      "year": 1944
    },
    {
      "n": 1682,
      "pair": "1940–44",
      "series": "Rest of the country",
      "value": 0.949506,
      "view": "offset",
      "year": 1944
    },
    {
      "n": 1412,
      "pair": "1944–48",
      "series": "South",
      "value": 17.4868,
      "view": "spread",
      "year": 1948
    },
    {
      "n": 1683,
      "pair": "1944–48",
      "series": "Rest of the country",
      "value": 10.2972,
      "view": "spread",
      "year": 1948
    },
    {
      "n": 1412,
      "pair": "1944–48",
      "series": "South",
      "value": -5.2674,
      "view": "offset",
      "year": 1948
    },
    {
      "n": 1683,
      "pair": "1944–48",
      "series": "Rest of the country",
      "value": 1.24601,
      "view": "offset",
      "year": 1948
    },
    {
      "n": 1411,
      "pair": "1948–52",
      "series": "South",
      "value": 18.7868,
      "view": "spread",
      "year": 1952
    },
    {
      "n": 1683,
      "pair": "1948–52",
      "series": "Rest of the country",
      "value": 10.4006,
      "view": "spread",
      "year": 1952
    },
    {
      "n": 1411,
      "pair": "1948–52",
      "series": "South",
      "value": -6.54059,
      "view": "offset",
      "year": 1952
    },
    {
      "n": 1683,
      "pair": "1948–52",
      "series": "Rest of the country",
      "value": 0.385524,
      "view": "offset",
      "year": 1952
    },
    {
      "n": 1414,
      "pair": "1952–56",
      "series": "South",
      "value": 13.7661,
      "view": "spread",
      "year": 1956
    },
    {
      "n": 1683,
      "pair": "1952–56",
      "series": "Rest of the country",
      "value": 8.75602,
      "view": "spread",
      "year": 1956
    },
    {
      "n": 1414,
      "pair": "1952–56",
      "series": "South",
      "value": -2.82327,
      "view": "offset",
      "year": 1956
    },
    {
      "n": 1683,
      "pair": "1952–56",
      "series": "Rest of the country",
      "value": 0.78846,
      "view": "offset",
      "year": 1956
    },
    {
      "n": 1417,
      "pair": "1956–60",
      "series": "South",
      "value": 18.2293,
      "view": "spread",
      "year": 1960
    },
    {
      "n": 1683,
      "pair": "1956–60",
      "series": "Rest of the country",
      "value": 12.6335,
      "view": "spread",
      "year": 1960
    },
    {
      "n": 1417,
      "pair": "1956–60",
      "series": "South",
      "value": -8.70085,
      "view": "offset",
      "year": 1960
    },
    {
      "n": 1683,
      "pair": "1956–60",
      "series": "Rest of the country",
      "value": 2.11474,
      "view": "offset",
      "year": 1960
    },
    {
      "n": 1415,
      "pair": "1960–64",
      "series": "South",
      "value": 33.4858,
      "view": "spread",
      "year": 1964
    },
    {
      "n": 1687,
      "pair": "1960–64",
      "series": "Rest of the country",
      "value": 11.4418,
      "view": "spread",
      "year": 1964
    },
    {
      "n": 1415,
      "pair": "1960–64",
      "series": "South",
      "value": -16.5185,
      "view": "offset",
      "year": 1964
    },
    {
      "n": 1687,
      "pair": "1960–64",
      "series": "Rest of the country",
      "value": 4.91336,
      "view": "offset",
      "year": 1964
    },
    {
      "n": 1419,
      "pair": "1964–68",
      "series": "South",
      "value": 39.1601,
      "view": "spread",
      "year": 1968
    },
    {
      "n": 1688,
      "pair": "1964–68",
      "series": "Rest of the country",
      "value": 9.42874,
      "view": "spread",
      "year": 1968
    },
    {
      "n": 1419,
      "pair": "1964–68",
      "series": "South",
      "value": 13.6347,
      "view": "offset",
      "year": 1968
    },
    {
      "n": 1688,
      "pair": "1964–68",
      "series": "Rest of the country",
      "value": -4.19862,
      "view": "offset",
      "year": 1968
    },
    {
      "n": 1422,
      "pair": "1968–72",
      "series": "South",
      "value": 25.3653,
      "view": "spread",
      "year": 1972
    },
    {
      "n": 1687,
      "pair": "1968–72",
      "series": "Rest of the country",
      "value": 9.9939,
      "view": "spread",
      "year": 1972
    },
    {
      "n": 1422,
      "pair": "1968–72",
      "series": "South",
      "value": -14.7323,
      "view": "offset",
      "year": 1972
    },
    {
      "n": 1687,
      "pair": "1968–72",
      "series": "Rest of the country",
      "value": 5.15311,
      "view": "offset",
      "year": 1972
    },
    {
      "n": 1422,
      "pair": "1972–76",
      "series": "South",
      "value": 20.6999,
      "view": "spread",
      "year": 1976
    },
    {
      "n": 1688,
      "pair": "1972–76",
      "series": "Rest of the country",
      "value": 9.66224,
      "view": "spread",
      "year": 1976
    },
    {
      "n": 1422,
      "pair": "1972–76",
      "series": "South",
      "value": 21.9335,
      "view": "offset",
      "year": 1976
    },
    {
      "n": 1688,
      "pair": "1972–76",
      "series": "Rest of the country",
      "value": -8.0418,
      "view": "offset",
      "year": 1976
    },
    {
      "n": 1425,
      "pair": "1976–80",
      "series": "South",
      "value": 11.082,
      "view": "spread",
      "year": 1980
    },
    {
      "n": 1687,
      "pair": "1976–80",
      "series": "Rest of the country",
      "value": 10.5738,
      "view": "spread",
      "year": 1980
    },
    {
      "n": 1425,
      "pair": "1976–80",
      "series": "South",
      "value": -2.91534,
      "view": "offset",
      "year": 1980
    },
    {
      "n": 1687,
      "pair": "1976–80",
      "series": "Rest of the country",
      "value": 0.964313,
      "view": "offset",
      "year": 1980
    },
    {
      "n": 1425,
      "pair": "1980–84",
      "series": "South",
      "value": 12.0449,
      "view": "spread",
      "year": 1984
    },
    {
      "n": 1687,
      "pair": "1980–84",
      "series": "Rest of the country",
      "value": 8.01392,
      "view": "spread",
      "year": 1984
    },
    {
      "n": 1425,
      "pair": "1980–84",
      "series": "South",
      "value": -9.27772,
      "view": "offset",
      "year": 1984
    },
    {
      "n": 1687,
      "pair": "1980–84",
      "series": "Rest of the country",
      "value": 4.20628,
      "view": "offset",
      "year": 1984
    },
    {
      "n": 1425,
      "pair": "1984–88",
      "series": "South",
      "value": 6.96998,
      "view": "spread",
      "year": 1988
    },
    {
      "n": 1689,
      "pair": "1984–88",
      "series": "Rest of the country",
      "value": 5.39074,
      "view": "spread",
      "year": 1988
    },
    {
      "n": 1425,
      "pair": "1984–88",
      "series": "South",
      "value": -2.4344,
      "view": "offset",
      "year": 1988
    },
    {
      "n": 1689,
      "pair": "1984–88",
      "series": "Rest of the country",
      "value": 1.11502,
      "view": "offset",
      "year": 1988
    },
    {
      "n": 1425,
      "pair": "1988–92",
      "series": "South",
      "value": 7.65073,
      "view": "spread",
      "year": 1992
    },
    {
      "n": 1689,
      "pair": "1988–92",
      "series": "Rest of the country",
      "value": 7.54247,
      "view": "spread",
      "year": 1992
    },
    {
      "n": 1425,
      "pair": "1988–92",
      "series": "South",
      "value": 0.908731,
      "view": "offset",
      "year": 1992
    },
    {
      "n": 1689,
      "pair": "1988–92",
      "series": "Rest of the country",
      "value": -0.0892176,
      "view": "offset",
      "year": 1992
    },
    {
      "n": 1424,
      "pair": "1992–96",
      "series": "South",
      "value": 6.66394,
      "view": "spread",
      "year": 1996
    },
    {
      "n": 1690,
      "pair": "1992–96",
      "series": "Rest of the country",
      "value": 8.3278,
      "view": "spread",
      "year": 1996
    },
    {
      "n": 1424,
      "pair": "1992–96",
      "series": "South",
      "value": -1.24103,
      "view": "offset",
      "year": 1996
    },
    {
      "n": 1690,
      "pair": "1992–96",
      "series": "Rest of the country",
      "value": 0.669298,
      "view": "offset",
      "year": 1996
    },
    {
      "n": 1423,
      "pair": "1996–2000",
      "series": "South",
      "value": 9.13485,
      "view": "spread",
      "year": 2000
    },
    {
      "n": 1690,
      "pair": "1996–2000",
      "series": "Rest of the country",
      "value": 6.92361,
      "view": "spread",
      "year": 2000
    },
    {
      "n": 1423,
      "pair": "1996–2000",
      "series": "South",
      "value": -1.97564,
      "view": "offset",
      "year": 2000
    },
    {
      "n": 1690,
      "pair": "1996–2000",
      "series": "Rest of the country",
      "value": 1.07851,
      "view": "offset",
      "year": 2000
    },
    {
      "n": 1423,
      "pair": "2000–04",
      "series": "South",
      "value": 6.58048,
      "view": "spread",
      "year": 2004
    },
    {
      "n": 1690,
      "pair": "2000–04",
      "series": "Rest of the country",
      "value": 5.82691,
      "view": "spread",
      "year": 2004
    },
    {
      "n": 1423,
      "pair": "2000–04",
      "series": "South",
      "value": -0.732741,
      "view": "offset",
      "year": 2004
    },
    {
      "n": 1690,
      "pair": "2000–04",
      "series": "Rest of the country",
      "value": 0.487995,
      "view": "offset",
      "year": 2004
    },
    {
      "n": 1423,
      "pair": "2004–08",
      "series": "South",
      "value": 9.29512,
      "view": "spread",
      "year": 2008
    },
    {
      "n": 1691,
      "pair": "2004–08",
      "series": "Rest of the country",
      "value": 6.34323,
      "view": "spread",
      "year": 2008
    },
    {
      "n": 1423,
      "pair": "2004–08",
      "series": "South",
      "value": -1.83122,
      "view": "offset",
      "year": 2008
    },
    {
      "n": 1691,
      "pair": "2004–08",
      "series": "Rest of the country",
      "value": 1.31979,
      "view": "offset",
      "year": 2008
    },
    {
      "n": 1423,
      "pair": "2008–12",
      "series": "South",
      "value": 4.49574,
      "view": "spread",
      "year": 2012
    },
    {
      "n": 1691,
      "pair": "2008–12",
      "series": "Rest of the country",
      "value": 5.1776,
      "view": "spread",
      "year": 2012
    },
    {
      "n": 1423,
      "pair": "2008–12",
      "series": "South",
      "value": 1.16759,
      "view": "offset",
      "year": 2012
    },
    {
      "n": 1691,
      "pair": "2008–12",
      "series": "Rest of the country",
      "value": -0.460645,
      "view": "offset",
      "year": 2012
    },
    {
      "n": 1422,
      "pair": "2012–16",
      "series": "South",
      "value": 9.19833,
      "view": "spread",
      "year": 2016
    },
    {
      "n": 1690,
      "pair": "2012–16",
      "series": "Rest of the country",
      "value": 11.6098,
      "view": "spread",
      "year": 2016
    },
    {
      "n": 1422,
      "pair": "2012–16",
      "series": "South",
      "value": 1.0429,
      "view": "offset",
      "year": 2016
    },
    {
      "n": 1690,
      "pair": "2012–16",
      "series": "Rest of the country",
      "value": -0.343983,
      "view": "offset",
      "year": 2016
    },
    {
      "n": 1422,
      "pair": "2016–20",
      "series": "South",
      "value": 6.68432,
      "view": "spread",
      "year": 2020
    },
    {
      "n": 1691,
      "pair": "2016–20",
      "series": "Rest of the country",
      "value": 5.02586,
      "view": "spread",
      "year": 2020
    },
    {
      "n": 1422,
      "pair": "2016–20",
      "series": "South",
      "value": 0.143027,
      "view": "offset",
      "year": 2020
    },
    {
      "n": 1691,
      "pair": "2016–20",
      "series": "Rest of the country",
      "value": -0.20423,
      "view": "offset",
      "year": 2020
    },
    {
      "n": 1422,
      "pair": "2020–24",
      "series": "South",
      "value": 4.40298,
      "view": "spread",
      "year": 2024
    },
    {
      "n": 1689,
      "pair": "2020–24",
      "series": "Rest of the country",
      "value": 4.50442,
      "view": "spread",
      "year": 2024
    },
    {
      "n": 1422,
      "pair": "2020–24",
      "series": "South",
      "value": 0.357798,
      "view": "offset",
      "year": 2024
    },
    {
      "n": 1689,
      "pair": "2020–24",
      "series": "Rest of the country",
      "value": -0.00864105,
      "view": "offset",
      "year": 2024
    }
  ],
  "id": "south_and_rest",
  "notes": [
    "Full counts of votes: there is no sampling, so the estimates have no confidence interval.",
    "The South is the Census Bureau's South region: the states from Delaware, Maryland and West Virginia through Texas and Oklahoma, and the District of Columbia, which has returns from 1964. The national swing used in the second view is the one computed on all matched counties."
  ],
  "source": "County presidential returns, 1868-2024 (Algara and Amlani for 1868-2020, MIT Election Data and Science Lab for 2024); full counts, not survey estimates; county swings weighted by two-party votes in the later election unless stated",
  "spec": {
    "annotations": [
      {
        "label": "Reconstruction",
        "type": "band",
        "x1": 1871,
        "x2": 1877
      },
      {
        "label": "Third-party vote",
        "type": "band",
        "x1": 1891,
        "x2": 1897
      },
      {
        "label": "Third-party vote",
        "type": "band",
        "x1": 1911,
        "x2": 1917
      },
      {
        "label": "Third-party vote",
        "type": "band",
        "x1": 1923,
        "x2": 1929
      },
      {
        "label": "Third-party vote",
        "type": "band",
        "x1": 1967,
        "x2": 1973
      },
      {
        "label": "Third-party vote",
        "type": "band",
        "x1": 1991,
        "x2": 2001
      }
    ],
    "colors": {
      "Rest of the country": "cat2",
      "South": "cat1"
    },
    "dashed": [
      "Rest of the country"
    ],
    "n": "n",
    "series": "series",
    "x": "year",
    "xDomain": [
      1868,
      2030
    ],
    "xLabel": "Later election of the pair",
    "y": "value",
    "yDomain": [
      0,
      50
    ],
    "yFormat": {
      "digits": 0
    },
    "yLabel": "Standard deviation of county swings within the region (points)"
  },
  "subtitle": "Standard deviation of county swings within each region, percentage points of the two-party margin, weighted by votes; one point per pair of elections, plotted at the later election",
  "table": {
    "columns": [
      {
        "key": "view",
        "label": "View"
      },
      {
        "key": "pair",
        "label": "Pair of elections"
      },
      {
        "key": "series",
        "label": "Region"
      },
      {
        "format": {
          "digits": 2
        },
        "key": "value",
        "label": "Value (points)"
      },
      {
        "format": {
          "digits": 0,
          "thousands": true
        },
        "key": "n",
        "label": "Counties"
      }
    ]
  },
  "title": "The spread of county swings was {fact:south_sd_1964} points in the South and {fact:rest_sd_1964} elsewhere in 1960 to 1964, and {fact:south_sd_latest} and {fact:rest_sd_latest} in 2020 to 2024",
  "type": "line",
  "views": [
    {
      "filter": {
        "view": "spread"
      },
      "id": "spread",
      "label": "Spread within each region"
    },
    {
      "caption": "The line is the change in the South's summed two-party margin minus the national change, so positive values mean the South moved more toward the Democrats than the nation did. It runs far from zero in many earlier pairs and stays close to it in the {fact:n_late} latest.",
      "filter": {
        "series": "South",
        "view": "offset"
      },
      "id": "offset",
      "label": "South against the nation",
      "spec": {
        "annotations": [
          {
            "label": "Same as the nation",
            "type": "y-rule",
            "y": 0
          },
          {
            "label": "Reconstruction",
            "type": "band",
            "x1": 1871,
            "x2": 1877
          },
          {
            "label": "Third-party vote",
            "type": "band",
            "x1": 1891,
            "x2": 1897
          },
          {
            "label": "Third-party vote",
            "type": "band",
            "x1": 1911,
            "x2": 1917
          },
          {
            "label": "Third-party vote",
            "type": "band",
            "x1": 1923,
            "x2": 1929
          },
          {
            "label": "Third-party vote",
            "type": "band",
            "x1": 1967,
            "x2": 1973
          },
          {
            "label": "Third-party vote",
            "type": "band",
            "x1": 1991,
            "x2": 2001
          }
        ],
        "yDomain": [
          -45,
          25
        ],
        "yFormat": {
          "digits": 0,
          "signed": true
        },
        "yLabel": "South's swing minus the national swing (points)"
      },
      "title": "The South's margin swing differed from the nation's by {fact:south_offset_1976} points in 1972 to 1976 and by no more than {fact:south_offset_max} points since 1984 to 1988"
    }
  ],
  "width": "wide"
}