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ZIP Code Destiny

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    Volume 1: Cradle and climb

    Part I

    Birth

    Birthweight, preterm birth, infant deaths and the number of births, by county and state.

    4 written, 0 planned

    Birthweight and the length of a pregnancy are recorded for nearly every birth in the country, which makes them the earliest outcomes that can be set against the place where a mother lived. This part asks how early in a life the address shows up. Every chapter compares counties or states and describes groups of births. None describes a particular mother or says why her baby weighed what it did.

    Chapter 1.1, Birthweight and preterm birth sets the share of babies born at low birthweight and the share born preterm against county deprivation. Both shares are higher where a county's neighborhoods are more deprived. The chapter then splits the shares by the mother's race and finds that the rate for Black mothers is higher than the rate for white mothers at every level of county deprivation, so the difference between the two groups is not a difference between richer and poorer counties alone. A short section records the fall in the number of births, and studies of income support and insurance coverage during pregnancy are reported under their own research designs.

    Chapter 1.2, Infant mortality follows the same births through the first year of life. It compares states and then counties, and among the large counties that publish a death count in every year the infant mortality rate rises with county deprivation. It also compares infants of Black and white mothers and finds the gap in each state that publishes both groups. The files carry no cause of death and no birthweight, so the chapter cannot say how the conditions described in the first chapter relate to the deaths described in the second. It can say that both are more common in more deprived counties.

    Chapter 1.3, Where births are falling counts births in the large counties that CDC WONDER identifies. Births fell from 2018 to 2024 in most of them, held level in the South and fell elsewhere, and the losses did not rise in steps with county deprivation. A larger share of births went to mothers in their late thirties and forties. The chapter reports counts and shares and not birth rates, because the staged files hold no counts of women by age. Chapter 1.4, Smoking in pregnancy follows the share of births to mothers who reported smoking, which fell in every income group of large counties. Within a state the share is lower where county income is higher, and whether that slope differs between states depends on how counties are weighted and on the scale of the comparison.

    Chapters

    1. 1.1

      Birthweight and preterm birthThe starting line

      In counties of 100,000 or more residents, the share of births under 2,500 grams rises from 7.4% in the least deprived tenth of counties to 9.7% in the most deprived, and the rate for non-Hispanic Black mothers is higher than for non-Hispanic white mothers in every quartile of county deprivation.

      PublishedCountieswonder-natalitywonder-lbdadichr

    2. 1.2

      Infant mortalityThe first year

      Infant mortality in 2018 to 2022 ran from 3.7 per 1,000 in Massachusetts and New Hampshire to 8.7 in Mississippi, and across large counties it rises from 3.9 in the least deprived quarter to 7.2 in the most deprived, with Black mothers' infants dying at 2.2 times the rate of white mothers' in 2018 and 2019.

      PublishedCountieswonder-lbdadichr

    3. 1.3

      Where births are fallingThe vanishing cradle

      Births in the counties that CDC WONDER identifies fell 4.6% from 2018 to 2024, by 5.6% in the least deprived quartile of counties and 7.3% in the most deprived, while births to mothers aged 15 to 29 fell and births to mothers aged 35 to 44 rose.

      PublishedCountieswonder-natalityadi

    4. 1.4

      Smoking in pregnancyBefore the first breath

      In the 530 large counties with a usable count, the share of births to mothers who reported smoking fell from 5.4% in 2018 to 1.9% in 2024, and within a state it is 3.9 points lower per doubling of county income when counties are weighted by births.

      PublishedCountieswonder-natalityadichrpublished-estimates