Reading path

Education and the vote

6 chapters in reading order. A path is a way through the book that follows one question; every chapter also stands alone.

1
The diploma divide
Chapter 3.2 in Part III, The party coalitions
In the ANES college graduates went from voting less Democratic than other voters to voting more Democratic, a gap of +23.3 points in 2024 against +12.3 in the CES, while their differences from non-graduates on cultural, racial and immigration issues were already present in the 1990s.
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2
Political knowledge and constraint
Chapter 1.6 in Part I, The sort
Is ideological constraint concentrated among the politically informed?
PlannedIndividualsanes
3
Education and ideology
Chapter 7.6 in Part VII, What left and right mean
Is the link between ideology and political action stronger among the educated?
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4
The diploma map
Chapter 12.2 in Part XII, Demographic axes of the vote
Vote-weighted, a county's Democratic share of the two-party presidential vote was 9.2 points higher per 10 points of college share in 2024, against 3.9 in 2000, and the rise came from 2000 to 2008 and from 2012 to 2016, with a change after 2016 of 0.0 for the unadjusted slope and +0.4 to +1.1 for adjusted versions.
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5
Income and the county vote
Chapter 12.3 in Part XII, Demographic axes of the vote
Do richer counties vote more Democratic once education is held constant?
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6
Education, ethnicity and the county shift, 2016 to 2024
Chapter 12.7 in Part XII, Demographic axes of the vote
In 2020 to 2024, counties with more Hispanic residents moved further toward the Republicans than other counties did (vote-weighted correlation −0.66, against +0.45 in 2012 to 2016), while the correlation with college share fell from +0.69 to +0.02.
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