Reading path
Party feeling and its consequences
5 chapters in reading order. A path is a way through the book that follows one question; every chapter also stands alone.
- 1Feelings toward the other party
Chapter 2.1 in Part II, Partisan feeling
Partisans' average rating of the other party fell from 48.0 to 20.6 on a 0 to 100 thermometer between 1978 and 2024, while their rating of their own party stayed near 70.5; 34.7% of the fall since 2008 goes with changes in survey mode.
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- 2Negative partisanship
Chapter 2.2 in Part II, Partisan feeling
The association of reported turnout with coldness toward the other party, beyond warmth toward the own party, grew by 2.6 points per 10 rating points between 1978 to 1990 and 2012 to 2024 and grew under every measure, election type and interview mode checked, while House voting and campaign activity show a change only under some measures and comparisons.
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- 3Affective and issue polarization
Chapter 2.3 in Part II, Partisan feeling
Did emotional distance between partisans grow faster than their distance on issues?
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- 4Party and feelings toward social groups
Chapter 2.4 in Part II, Partisan feeling
Does party now organize feelings toward social groups more than race, religion or income?
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- 5Political violence and democratic norms
Chapter 6.8 in Part VI, Trust, science and democracy
In the 2024 ANES, 17.2% of adult citizens said violence to pursue political goals is justified at least a little, with no party gap that the data separate from zero, while Republicans were more likely than Democrats to expect an inaccurate vote count and to call Trump the legitimate winner of 2020.
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